Well, wise or not, only time will tell.
One thing for sure: An untested backup is no backup. You can get a free Moodle somewhere, a MoodleCloud https://moodle.org/mod/forum/view.php?id=8277 plan, for example, and https://docs.moodle.org/en/Course_restore your backups to check.
Installing and upgrading help
Newbie in need
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